arXiv:2610.32092v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Verifying the provenance of autonomous LLM agents is a critical security challenge. Existing semantic attribution is easily obfuscated by system prompts, while active watermarking conflicts with schema-constrained tool generation. We propose AgentTrace, an active framework that identifies the foundation model behind a black-box agent via observable execution traces. AgentTrace injects structurally ambiguous probes to trigger tokenization-sensitive serialization failures at rigid tool interfaces. While these initial failures provide coarse-grained separation across model families, the temporal sequence of subsequent repair operations reveals fine-grained, model-specific recovery behaviors. By modeling these multi-step trajectories with lightweight Markov chains, AgentTrace achieves 96.0% attribution accuracy under adversarial identity spoofing. Crucially, sequential repair modeling successfully distinguishes the evaluated intra-family variants sharing identical tokenizers (e.g., Llama-3 8B/70B), substantially outperforming unordered behavioral statistics while remaining robust against prompt obfuscation and temperature scaling.